Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Romney Officially Seals The Deal Now That He's Running Unopposed

Just going to do a quick CNN dump here to commemorate Mitt Romney officially hitting the magic number of delegates needed to be the GOP presidential candidate.


Texas, congratulations on being the state that got to confirm the indisputable... now if only your school textbook publishing companies didn't have problems doing the same.

To celebrate the occasion, the Romney campaign released its iPhone app and misspelled America.


So there you have it, Romney For A Better Amercia.  Awesome.  I know it's just a petty typo, but it's such a stupid one especially considering how the typo was plastered right over an action shot of Romney.

Besides, I'm not above posting pictures of politicians awkwardly eating dong-shaped food, so I can't really justify taking the high road on this either.  To Romney's credit, he seems to have avoided eating any corn dogs in front of photographers, so maybe he's more of a savvy politician than I give him credit for.

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Screw You Ancient History From Last Summer, We're Dooming Ourselves to Repeat It!!

Way back in the summer of 2011, I started up this little blog (actually my second attempt because my first was, at times, a little bizarro) and titled it Congress vs. The United States as a reaction to the debt ceiling crisis.  I got to read fun articles about how the stand-off was a game of chicken but the Tea Party didn't think a head-on collision would hurt.  I got to watch Obama and Boehner square off in prime time television and talk past each other.  Essentially We The People all got to watch our government work against our collective good.

Apparently John Boehner thought the first crisis was such a kick-ass ride that he's gearing up for the sequel... Punching Your Own Junk: The Quickening.


Really, what else is there to say?  I'll throw in the obvious quote for good meaasure:
"When the time comes, I will again insist on my simple principle of cuts and reforms greater than the debt limit increase," Boehner said...
Some Democratic response turns up in this article:


Surprise surprise, the same stupid from the first round still exists for this upcoming potential train wreck.  Here's one quote just to get the other side started:
But Rep. Chris Van Hollen (D) of Maryland, the leading Democrat on the House Budget Committee, pointed out that the House's own Republican budget would violate Boehner's principle, as it requires $5.2 trillion in additional deficit spending. "This isn't just hypocritical," Mr. Van Hollen said in a statement, "it's dangerous."
Does Boehner have some morbid curiosity to see if it's possible to get the Congressional approval rating down to zero right before an election?  Will voters actually have the presence to vote out the worst offenders instead of just letting incumbent dogs lie?

I feel like this sequel will be more Speed 2 and less The Godfather: Part II. Here's to the United States government having the same credit score as an unemployed shop-aholic.

Thursday, May 10, 2012

North Carolina Shocks No One, Obama Does.

Couple big things happened this past week regarding the issue of gay rights.  First, North Carolina held a statewide vote to put it in their state charter that marriage is between a man and a woman (and as many on the internets have pointed out, that man and woman can be first cousins as long as they are a man and a woman).  Here's the text of that amendment:
Marriage between one man and one woman is the only domestic legal union that shall be valid or recognized in this State.
The bill is meant to outlaw gay marriage at the state's constitutional level, but the following article from Mother Jones highlights some problems the somewhat vague wording might present, as seen by the ACLU:

  • Domestic violence laws protecting people in an unmarried partnerships might be weakened. (This claim has been debated by both sides, and it's still unclear exactly how the law would impact domestic violence victims. Opponents of Amendment 1 say many of North Carolina's domestic violence laws offer special protections to victims who have an established relationship with their abusers. So if the amendment narrows the law to legally recognize only marriages, it might weaken these protective laws for unmarried partners. Supporters of Amendment 1, such as Rockingham County District Attorney Phil Berger Jr., contest this claim. Berger said nothing in the amendment changes any laws on assault, rape, murder, or other crimes.)
  • Unmarried parents could no longer have the same child custody and visitation rights as married parents.
  • Private agreements between unmarried couples might not longer have a legal basis. This means, for example, that if a couple who has cohabited and raised children together for years decides to separate, the wealthier partner would not be legally obligated to divide property with his or her partner.
  • The law could interfere with unmarried partners' end-of-life arrangements, such as wills, trusts, and medical powers of attorney.
  • Employers would no longer have to provide benefits, such as health insurance, to the partners of unmarried employees.

I think things like this list highlight the problems with laws like North Carolina's marriage amendment.  They can't be too specific in calling out their bias or else the courts could easily strike them down later, but their broadness opens potential unforeseen consequences.  Maybe the list above is just the ACLU splitting hairs, but sometimes the law is like that.   "We just wanted to discriminate against the gays, we didn't mean for it to affect anyone else" doesn't feel like a viable defense.

I feel like we've been here before with a state like North Carolina and its southern compatriots.  I'm not sure why they have such a hard-on for legalizing discrimination and I'm curious what the next group will be since we already outlawed slavery at the federal level and I imagine someday we'll do the same to these same-sex marriage bans.  We could probably figure it out if we wanted - sort of like Hitler publishing Mein Kampf - we just need to study the Bible hard enough to uncover the next target.

The second bit of business involved President Obama coming out in favor of same-sex marriage.

I feel like this is important for a number of reasons.  First, obviously, he 's the president and he's saying this kind of stuff (right before a potentially close election no less).  Mitt Romney has already done the red meat response so I guess this could be set up as a hot-button morality issue to galvanize certain voting bases.

For me, though, listening to him talk about how he's come around on this issue, it reminded me that we're all just people.  Obama might be the president of the United States, but he also is a dad with two daughters, and friends of his daughters live in homes with same-sex parents.  It's hard to keep railing against inequalities when you have a barbecue with the people you're affecting.

I feel lucky to live in a town that's welcoming to same-sex couples.  I have two on my block (one with a daughter).  Some of my son's classmates live in same-sex households.  Same thing for my daughter.  And when this issue comes up for a vote in New Jersey, it will be easy to vote in favor of recognizing that the rights of my neighbors are the same as my own.  I would have done it anyway, but doing it with the two incredibly kind couples across the street in mind makes it a no-brainer.

Beyond that, I feel Obama's public stance ends the silly civil union for some but marriage for others tap dance that politicians endure when they simply want to acknowledge discriminating against same-sex couples is wrong.  Opposing same-sex marriage is a waning trend, and I think Obama's support for same-sex marriage makes it a lot easier for normal people sitting in the middle of the spectrum to admit they feel everyone should get equal treatment and that this whole debate, from a public policy standpoint, is stupid.

But here's an interesting sidenote from the following Five Thirty Eight post:


Here's the quote:

It should be remembered that support for same-sex marriage in polls has not necessarily translated into support at the ballot booth. On Tuesday, North Carolina became the latest state to adopt a Constitutional ban on same-sex marriage and did so by a margin of about 20 percentage points, somewhat larger than polls forecast. The North Carolina measure also banned domestic partnerships and other types of civil unions. 
Still, even if polls have sometimes overstated support for same-sex marriage, and if some of the Americans who support same-sex marriage are less likely to turn out to vote than those who oppose it, the issue now seems to have a bit of wiggle room, with supporters slightly outnumbering opponents in recent national surveys. 

The North Carolina amendment passed by a much larger margin than it should have given how polls trended on the issue.  On a larger playing field, however, the real battle is for moderates and I feel that Obama's stance helps him more than it hurts him with that group.  Here's hoping they head out to the polls when the time comes.

If I were a moderate, I'd be sick and tired of having my voice co-opted by the extremities on either side.

Monday, May 7, 2012

Ron Paul: Political Ninja

This news probably won't be much of a surprise to those who have followed the GOP primary closely, but for those who haven't and are wondering why Ron Paul still hangs in there, here's your answer.  He has a plan, a plan that acknowledges the useless theater that is the primary voting process for many states and all the media horserace sensationalism that surrounds it.

It's a straightforward approach that he's never kept a secret.  Essentially any state where the GOP convention delegates are determined by a caucus, the public vote carries no real weight.  It should, but it doesn't have to.  Here's an article that covers the basics:


In a caucus state, the process for choosing delegates to send to the GOP convention in Tampa, is pretty involved.  It starts with local meetings where volunteers are chosen to go to county meetings.  Those county meetings then send on a smaller number of volunteers chosen from the local levels, and so on up the ladder to the state level until you get to the core group going to Tampa.

Ron Paul's campaign strategy is to get enough of his precinct-level supporters to volunteer to become delegates to the county conventions so that they outnumber other campaigns. "Their strategy is to gobble up as many of these slots as they can," said Putnam. 
Then, if you manage to stack the beginning of the process with Ron Paul delegates, as the system moves through the county conventions and the district and state-wide conventions the chances of Ron Paul-supporting delegates emerging at the end and being chosen to go to Tampa is greatly increased.

So has it worked?  Yeah, kind of.  Because it takes so long to work through the caucus process, actual results for some of the earliest states are just starting to come in.  Iowa voted first.  Mitt Romney first got the nod as the winner.  The media went nuts with that.  Then Iowa admitted there were problems with their counts and a bit of scandal bubbled up.  The media went nuts with that.  Then Iowa announced that Rick Santorum actually won the state and the head of the Iowa GOP resigned.  More media going nuts.

Turns out none of that mattered.  It's recently come to light that Ron Paul won Iowa when the votes that matter worked themselves out.  Or maybe he didn't win, but he at least tied for first.


He's also won Minnesota, Maine, and Nevada.  That's not what I was hearing on the news during those states' election nights, but that's how the final votes played out.  The Christian Science Monitor goes into what this all means:


A possibility looming on the horizon for Mitt "Seriously... who do I have to blow to finally be given the GOP nomination?" Romney is that he does the whole presumptive-candidate thing for the next few months and then learns that Ron Paul has finagled enough delegate votes away to prevent the assumed coronation.

And that point?  I grab the popcorn and enjoy "Real Housewives of the GOP" crazy train for all it's worth.